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174

Continuum Mechanics

Physics-constrained, Data-driven Discovery of Coarse-grained Dynamics

ing simultaneous dimension and model-order reduction

(Figure 4). It consists of a component that encodes the

high-dimensional input into a low-dimensional set of

feature functions by employing sparsity-enforcing priors

and a decoding component that makes use of the solution

of a coarse-grained model in order to reconstruct that of

the full-order model. Both components are represented

with latent variables in a probabilistic graphical model and

are simultaneously trained using stochastic variational

inference methods. The model is capable of quantifying

the predictive uncertainty due to the information loss that

unavoidably takes place in any model-order/dimension

reduction as well as the uncertainty arising from finite-

sized training datasets. We demonstrate its capabilities in

the context of random media where fine-scale fluctuations

Figure 6: Illustration of the predictive capabilities of the proposed model

for the one-dimensional Burgers’ equation. The left-hand and right-hand

columns correspond to two different initial conditions and the rows repre-

sent snapshots of the system at different time instances. The green dashed

line represents the true time evolution of the system. The red shaded area

is the predicted 95 percent credible interval and the red dashed line the

predicted mean.

This project is concerned with the discovery of data-

driven, dynamic, stochastic coarse-grained models from

fine-scale simulations with a view to advancing multiscale

modeling. Many problems in science and engineering are

modeled by high-dimensional systems of deterministic

or stochastic, (non)linear, microscopic evolution laws

(e.g ODEs). Their solution is generally dominated by the

smaller time scales involved, even though the outputs of

Figure 5: True solution (colored), predictive mean (blue), one standard

deviation (transparent gray)

can give rise to random inputs with tens of thousands of

variables. With a few tens of full-order model simulations,

the proposed model is capable of identifying salient phys-

ical features and produce sharp predictions under dierent

boundary conditions of the full output which itself consists

of thousands of components (Figure 5).

interest might pertain to time scales that are greater by

several orders of magnitude. The combination of high-

dimensionality and disparity of time scales has motivated

the development of coarse-grained (CG) formulations.

These aim at constructing a much lower-dimensional

model that is practical to integrate in time and can ade-

quately predict the outputs of interest over the time scales

of interest. The challenge in multiscale physical systems

such as those encountered in non-equilibrium statistical

mechanics, is even greater as apart from the identification

of an effective model, it is crucial to discover simultane-

ously, a good set of CG state variables.

In this project, we treat the CG model as a probabilistic

state-space model where the transition law dictates the

evolution of the CG state variables and the emission law

the coarse-to-fine map (Figure 6). Naturally, one of the

most critical questions pertains to the form of the CG

evolution law which poses a formidable model selec-

tion issue. Correct identification of the right-hand side

terms involved can also reveal qualitative features of the

coarse-scale evolution such as the type of constitutive

relations. In order to avoid overfitting as well as endow the

estimates with robustness even in the presence of limited

data, we invoke the principle of parsimony that is reflected

in the sparsity of the solutions.